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The 20% Statistician

A blog on statistics, methods, philosophy of science, and open science. Understanding 20% of statistics will improve 80% of your inferences.
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Author Daniel Lakens

We recently posted a preprint criticizing the idea of Type S and M errors (https://osf.io/2phzb_v1). From our abstract: “While these concepts have been proposed to be useful both when designing a study (prospective) and when evaluating results (retroactive), we argue that these statistics do not facilitate the proper design of studies, nor the meaningful interpretation of results.” In a recent blog post that is mainly on p-curve analysis, Gelman

Psychology
Published
Author Daniel Lakens

Rene Bekkers, 4 September 2025[*]   A dashboard of transparency indicators signaling trustworthiness Our Research Transparency Check (Bekkers et al., 2025) rests on two pillars. The first pillar that we blogged about previously is the development of P apercheck , a collection of software applications that assess the transparency and methodological quality of research (DeBruine &

Published
Author Daniel Lakens

Researchers increasingly use the Open Science Framework (OSF) to share files, such as data and code underlying scientific publications, or presentations and materials for scientific workshops. The OSF is an amazing service that has contributed immensely to a changed research culture where psychologists share data, code, and materials. We are very grateful it exists.   But it is not always the most user-friendly.

Psychology
Published
Author Daniel Lakens

Are meta-scientists ignoring philosophy of science (PoS)? Are they re-inventing the wheel? A recent panel at the Metascience conference engaged with this question, and the first sentence of the abstract states “Critics argue that metascience merely reinvents the wheel of other academic fields.” It’s a topic I have been thinking about for a while, so I will share my thoughts on this question.

Psychology
Published
Author Daniel Lakens

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Asking QuestionsError ControlMethodologyNeyman-PearsonPowerPsychology
Published
Author Daniel Lakens

What is the goal of data collection? This is a simple question, and as researchers we collect data all the time. But the answer to this question is not straightforward. It depends on the question that you are asking of your data. There are different questions you can ask from your data, and therefore, you can have different goals when collecting data. Here, I want to focus on collecting data to test scientific theories.

Asking QuestionsReplicationPsychology
Published
Author Daniel Lakens

This blog post is based on a pre-print by Coles, Tiokhin, Scheel, Isager, and Lakens “The Costs and Benefits of Replications”, submitted to Behavioral Brain Sciences as a commentary on “Making Replication Mainstream”. In a summary of recent discussions about the role of direct replications in psychological science, Zwaan, Etz, Lucas, and Donnellan (2017) argue that replications should be more mainstream.

NHSTP-valuesStatisticsPsychology
Published
Author Daniel Lakens

A p -value is the probability of the observed, or more extreme, data, under the assumption that the null-hypothesis is true. The goal of this blog post is to understand what this means, and perhaps more importantly, what this doesn’t mean. People often misunderstand p -values, but with a little help and some dedicated effort, we should be able explain these misconceptions.

Asking QuestionsStatisticsPsychology
Published
Author Daniel Lakens

If I ever make a follow up to my current MOOC, I will call it ‘Improving Your Statistical Questions’. The more I learn about how people use statistics, the more I believe the main problem is not how people interpret the numbers they get from statistical tests. The real issue is which statistical questions researchers ask from their data. Our statistics education turns a blind eye to training people how to ask a good question.